Bitcoin, Ethereum, Bitcoin Cash, Ripple, Stellar, Litecoin, Cardano, NEO, EOS: Price Analysis, April 13
On April 12, Bitcoin saw the biggest
one-hour trade volume in its history, as price rallied by more than
$1,000 in a period of thirty minutes. This spike in price was not
preceded by any news, which points to a possible whale buying back
bitcoins that they sold at higher levels or an entry of a large institutional player.
Another possible reason is that the selling pressure has eased, as most of the tax day selloffs are behind us.
The number of short positions also dropped from a high of 44,000
contracts on April 11 to 26,000 contracts on April 12. While some of
the shorts would have been forced to close due to the spike in prices,
others might have closed because Bitcoin had been successfully holding
above the February 06 lows.
While it is difficult to
pinpoint the exact reason for the increase, the move boosted sentiment
across the major altcoins. As a result, the market capitalization of all
cryptocurrencies again rose above the $300 billion mark, after dipping
below $250 billion on April 01.
Let’s see if we can find any buy setups on the charts.
BTC/USD
In our previous analysis, we had suggested long positions on Bitcoin
once it closed above the 20-day EMA. The condition was met yesterday,
as prices zoomed past the overhead resistances. So, has the
cryptocurrency finally bottomed out?
The
previous attempt to break out of the channel on March 03 had failed
within three days. This time, things look positive because the BTC/USD
pair has broken out of the descending channel with force. It should now
quickly move to the 50-day SMA, which might offer some resistance.
Once
above the 50-day SMA, the next move should be to $10,000. The major
resistance will be $12,172.43 where profits should be booked. We don’t
expect this level to be crossed in a hurry.
Traders who
have initiated long positions yesterday can hold with a stop loss at
$6,700. They can trail their stops higher if Bitcoin struggles to break
out of the 50-day SMA.
It looks like a bottom, but the price needs to sustain at the higher levels to confirm the sentiment.
ETH/USD
Our bullish view on Ethereum
was validated yesterday, as price closed above the 20-day EMA and the
resistance line of the descending channel. The move should now extend to
the 50-day SMA.
This is the first time that the ETH/USD
pair has broken out of the resistance line of the descending channel,
which is a bullish development. If the bulls succeed in breaking out of
the $600 levels, the next move should be to $725 levels.
Any dip, as long as it stays above the $420 levels, can be used as a buying opportunity.
BCH/USD
Bitcoin Cash has broken out of the overhead resistance at $778.2021 and the 20-day EMA, which sets up a quick short-term trade
Traders
can initiate long positions at the current levels around $779 and keep a
stop loss below the recent lows of $610. The target objective on the
upside is a move to $974.
Above the 50-day SMA, the BCH/USD
pair can rally to $1,115 levels. Instead of booking profits at the
overhead resistance levels, traders should raise their stops higher
because Bitcoin Cash is known to make large moves once it turns
positive.
XRP/USD
Ripple
has already reached our first target objective of $0.7, mentioned in
the previous analysis. The markets have rejected the lower levels, which
is a bullish sign.
The
$0.7 to $0.73 area can act as a resistance and any dip towards the
$0.56270 levels should be used as a buying opportunity, keeping a stop
loss at $0.453. We can confirm a bottom if the next move down doesn’t
break below $0.56270.
We expect the XRP/USD pair to trade in a wide range.
XLM/USD
We have been bullish on Stellar
because of the positive divergence on the RSI. Yesterday, price
confirmed our positive view as it broke out of the 20-day EMA.
The XLM/USD
pair is currently trading at the resistance line of the descending
channel. If it breaks out of the channel, we expect the trend to change
from bearish to bullish.
Traders can enter long
positions on a breakout and close (UTC time frame) above the resistance
line of the channel. The initial stop loss can be kept at $0.18 on a
closing basis (UTC time frame).
The target objectives on
the upside are a move to $0.36 and $0.47. The risk to reward ratio is
not attractive, hence, traders should book partial profits at $0.36 and
trail stops higher to reduce their risk.
If the overall
market turn bearish, we shall close the position well before the stops
are hit. Our bullish view will be invalidated if prices remain inside
the channel.
LTC/USD
Litecoin has cleared the first hurdle of the downtrend line 1 but is struggling to break out of the 20-day EMA.
Once it breaks out of the 20-day EMA, it has another horizontal resistance at $141.026. The LTC/USD pair will turn bullish once it scales above $142.
On
the upside, it will again face resistance at the downtrend line 2,
which is at $165. Currently, we don’t have a good risk to reward ratio
on the trade, hence, we are not proposing any trade on it.
ADA/BTC
We had proposed a long position on Cardano
on a breakout and close above the 0.00002460 mark. Yesterday, the trade
went live as the digital currency closed at 0.00002722. The pattern
target on a break out of the ascending triangle pattern is 0.0000323,
however, we expect a move to 0.000035 levels. Our bullish view will be
invalidated on a break below 0.000021.
The 20-day EMA and the 50-day SMA are on the verge of a bullish crossover, which is another positive. The ADA/BTC pair can retest the breakout levels of 0.00002460, which should hold.
Traders can hold their positions and add more on a successful retest of the breakout levels.
NEO/USD
We had suggested long positions on NEO on a breakout above $64 levels. That trade went live yesterday.
The NEO/USD pair should find strong support in the zone between the 20-day EMA and $63.62. The initial stop loss can be placed at $44.
Though
the 50-day SMA is at $78, it has not acted as a major resistance
previously. Hence, we believe that the virtual currency will rally to
the downtrend line of the descending triangle at $88.
This
is an aggressive position because the trend is still down and price is
still inside the descending triangle. Hence, traders should keep the
position size at only 50 percent of usual.
EOS/USD
Our suggested buy level of $7.5 on EOS
was filled yesterday. Our target objective on the upside is a move to
$11. The moving averages are on the brink of a bullish crossover, which
signals the start of a new trend.
Traders can book partial profits at $9.5 to reduce their risk and raise the stop loss on the remaining position to $5.5.
We anticipate a retest of the breakout level of $7.28, which should hold. However, if the EOS/USD breaks below this support, it will become negative and we may recommend closing positions early.









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